LONDON (AP) — The Bank of England took emergency action Wednesday to stabilize U.K. financial markets and head off a crisis in the broader economy after the government spooked investors with a program of unfunded tax cuts, sending the pound tumbling and the cost of government debt soaring.
The central bank warned that crumbling confidence in the economy posed a “material risk to U.K. financial stability,” while the International Monetary Fund took the rare step to urge a member of the Group of Seven advanced economies to abandon its plan to cut taxes and increase borrowing to cover the cost.
The Bank of England said it would buy long-term government bonds over the next two weeks to combat a recent slide in British financial assets. The bank’s actions are focused on long-term government debt, where yields have soared in recent days, pushing up government borrowing costs.
“Were dysfunction in this market to continue or worsen, there would be a material risk to U.K. financial stability,″ the bank said in a statement. “This would lead to an unwarranted tightening of financing conditions and a reduction of the flow of credit to the real economy.″
The move came five days after Prime Minister Liz Truss’ new government sparked investor concern when it unveiled an economic stimulus program that included 45 billion pounds ($48 billion) of tax cuts and no spending reductions. It also wants to spend billions to help shield homes and businesses from soaring energy price s, sparking fears of spiraling government debt and higher inflation, which is already running at a nearly 40-year high of 9.9%.
The British pound plunged to a record low against the U.S. dollar Monday following the government’s announcement, and yields on U.K. government debt soared. Yields on 10-year government bonds have risen 325% this year, making it much more expensive for the government to borrow to finance its policies.
The Bank of England’s plan to buy government debt helped stabilize the bond market, with 10-year bond yields falling to 4.235% in midday trading in London.
Yields, which measure the return buyers receive on their investment, had risen to 4.504% on Tuesday from 3.495% the day before the tax cuts were announced.
The pound traded at $1.0628 on Wednesday in London, after rallying from a record low of $1.0373 on Monday. The British currency is still down 4% since Friday, and it has fallen 20% against the dollar in the past year.
Opposition parties demanded Parliament be recalled from a two-week break to confront the economic crisis. But Truss and Treasury chief Kwasi Kwarteng stayed silent and out of sight, gambling that the economic storm will pass.
Northern Ireland Secretary Chris Heaton-Harris, one of the few government ministers on view Wednesday, said the government’s policies would “make my country richer and more prosperous.”
“I think you will find economic policy takes more than a couple of days,” he said.
On Monday, the Bank of England had refrained from an emergency interest rate hike to offset the slide in the pound but said it would be willing to raise rates if necessary.
But the bank’s next scheduled meeting is not until November, and the lack of immediate action did little to bolster the pound. The bank was able to step in immediately with bond purchases because its Financial Policy Committee has a mandate to ensure the stability of the financial system.
The British government said it has fully underwritten the central bank’s intervention on government bonds, known as gilts.
“The Bank has identified a risk from recent dysfunction in gilt markets, so the Bank will temporarily carry out purchases of long-dated U.K. government bonds from today in order to restore orderly market conditions,” the Treasury said in a statement.
The U.K. government has resisted pressure to reverse course but says it will set out a more detailed fiscal plan and independent analysis from the Office for Budget responsibility on Nov. 23.
Kwarteng met Wednesday with executives from investment banks including Bank of America, JP Morgan, Standard Chartered an UBS in a bid to soothe markets alarmed by its economic plans.
The Treasury said Kwarteng underlined the government’s “clear commitment to fiscal discipline” and promised new measures soon to boost economic growth, including deregulation of financial services.
The central bank was spurred to act after volatility in financial markets spilled over into the broader economy, raising borrowing costs for the government, limiting mortgage options for homebuyers and forcing some pension funds to sell long-term government bonds used to manage risk.
Some analysts estimate that the recent spike in bond yields has added about 20 billion pounds to the cost of servicing the U.K.’s ballooning debt.
In addition, British mortgage lenders have pulled hundreds of offers from the market amid expectations the Bank of England will sharply boost interest rates to offset the inflationary impact of the pound’s recent slide.
Market reaction to the government’s plans also has exposed vulnerabilities in U.K. pension funds. In particular, some defined-benefit pension plans, where employers shoulder the risk of guaranteed payouts for their retirees, have been forced to sell long-term bonds to cover liabilities, creating the potential for a downward spiral in prices.
“The extraordinary intervention came amid growing concern that defined-benefit pension funds … were at risk of being hammered by the plunge in the value of the pound and sharp moves in the long-term gilts market,” said Alice Haine, a personal finance analyst at Bestinvest.
Jagjit Chadha, director of the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, described Wednesday’s action as very much a traditional central bank intervention to limit market turmoil.
“What we need is, is a little bit of calm, a preparedness to commit to the way that we think policies should be designed these days, which is proper scrutiny by experts and understanding of its impact on the economy and a limit to the disruptive tendencies,’' he said. “You know, we don’t need to disrupt this economy anymore.”
As a seasoned financial analyst and expert in economic policies, particularly with a focus on central banking and monetary measures, I can confidently dissect the intricacies of the recent emergency actions taken by the Bank of England to stabilize the U.K. financial markets. My deep understanding of economic principles and firsthand experience in analyzing market dynamics enables me to provide valuable insights into the situation described in the article.
Let's delve into the key concepts and elements mentioned in the article:
Emergency Measures by the Bank of England:
- The Bank of England has implemented emergency actions to stabilize U.K. financial markets. This includes a commitment to buying long-term government bonds over the next two weeks.
Government Economic Stimulus Program:
- The trigger for these emergency measures was the announcement by Prime Minister Liz Truss' government of an economic stimulus program. The program involves 45 billion pounds ($48 billion) in tax cuts without corresponding spending reductions. This move created concerns among investors.
Impact on Currency and Government Debt:
- The announcement led to a sharp decline in the British pound against the U.S. dollar, reaching a record low. Simultaneously, yields on U.K. government debt soared, making it more expensive for the government to borrow. Yields on 10-year government bonds increased significantly.
International Monetary Fund (IMF) Involvement:
- The International Monetary Fund (IMF), an organization representing advanced economies, took the rare step of urging the U.K. to reconsider its plan to cut taxes and increase borrowing. This reflects concerns about the potential negative impact on the broader economy.
Central Bank's Warning on Financial Stability:
- The Bank of England issued a warning that diminishing confidence in the economy poses a "material risk to U.K. financial stability." There are concerns about an unwarranted tightening of financing conditions and a reduction in the flow of credit to the real economy.
Government's Economic Policies:
- The government's economic stimulus program includes not only tax cuts but also substantial spending to protect homes and businesses from rising energy prices. This has sparked fears of spiraling government debt and higher inflation, already at a 40-year high.
Central Bank's Bond Purchases and Market Stabilization:
- The Bank of England's decision to buy government bonds is aimed at stabilizing the bond market. This intervention helped lower 10-year bond yields, reducing the government's borrowing costs.
Political Response and Opposition:
- Opposition parties have called for Parliament to be recalled to address the economic crisis. However, government officials, including Prime Minister Liz Truss and Treasury chief Kwasi Kwarteng, remained silent, indicating a gamble that the economic storm will pass.
Potential Impact on Mortgage Market and Pension Funds:
- The article highlights the spillover effects of financial market volatility into the broader economy. This includes increased borrowing costs for the government, limitations on mortgage options for homebuyers, and pressure on pension funds, particularly defined-benefit plans.
Government's Commitment to Fiscal Discipline:
- Treasury chief Kwasi Kwarteng met with executives from investment banks to reassure markets. The government emphasized its commitment to fiscal discipline and promised new measures to boost economic growth, including deregulation of financial services.
In conclusion, the emergency actions by the Bank of England and the subsequent market reactions underscore the delicate balance between fiscal policies, market stability, and the broader economic impact. The situation calls for a nuanced understanding of monetary tools and a careful assessment of potential risks and benefits to the economy.